With DFROG, the nowcasting model of DNB, we make an estimate of the current development of the Dutch economy.
This short-term estimate of the growth rate of the gross domestic product (gdp) in volumes is based on a large number of monthly economic and financial data and indicators, such as consumer and producer confidence.
The DFROG estimate is a mechanical projection to monitor the economic development and not an official projection as we publish in June and December.
See for more information about the nowcasting model: DFROG: Dutch Forecasting Model for Real Time Output Growth.
© DNB
The negative balance in the goods trade with the United States has weakened in recent quarters after rising sharply since 2021, as revealed by new DNB balance of payments figures. In the third quarter of 2024, the balance was € -3.7 billion.
Read more Import surplus in goods trade with US shrinks
Geopolitical shocks have a significant impact on the solvency of Dutch and European insurers. This has emerged from a stress test published by the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) on 17 December 2024.
Read more Geopolitical shocks have a significant impact on the solvency of Dutch and European insurers
In the Netherlands, economic growth is set to accelerate in the coming years, but geopolitical uncertainty is increasingly threatening the Dutch economy. In addition, at 3%, inflation in the Netherlands will remain higher than in the euro area in the years ahead.
Read more Economic growth continues, uncertainty increases
Income from foreign direct investment in the Netherlands flowing to low-tax jurisdictions has declined structurally since 2020, new figures from DNB show. Income flows with other countries remained more stable over the same period.
Read more Income flowing to tax havens through the Netherlands structurally down