COVID-19 impact on payment behaviour is largest in older age groups and smallest in lower income categories
Cash payments by consumers with gross annual household income of up to EUR 23,400 showed a very sharp decrease in April, but have almost returned to early 2020 levels. These consumers paid 41% of their purchases in cash in February, and 39% in October. Their use of cash may be linked to the desire to control expenditure. The pandemic's impact on the use of cash is the strongest among consumers aged 65 or over. Whereas in February 2020 they paid in cash for almost half of their purchases, this had gone down to a quarter by October. Their share of contactless payments has meanwhile more than doubled, from 27% in February to 58% in October.
Consumers cite various reasons for reducing their use of cash
37% of Dutch consumers who make fewer cash payments say they do so because some retailers have stopped accepting cash or discourage its use. A slightly smaller proportion (36%) say they follow perceived government recommendations. This is remarkable, seeing that the Dutch government has stated since the pandemic broke out that it is safe for consumers to use cash. Two further factors prompting consumers to make fewer cash payments are fear of infection through banknotes and coins, and through hand-to-hand contact with retailers, at 29% both. The Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) has stated, however, that the probability of infection by touching products or surfaces, including cash, is negligible. Almost 30% say they use less cash because it has been made easier to make electronic payments. Most likely, they refer to the banks having raised the minimum amount for which contactless payments require entering a PIN.
Dutch consumers expect they will continue to pay electronically more often than before
39% of the surveyed Dutch consumers who have reduced their cash payments since the COVID-19 crisis are certain they will continue to pay electronically more often, while 43% consider this likely. Among them are relatively many elderly people. The shift in payment behaviour which they say to expect is in line with the changed preferences for payment instruments they indicate. Over the course of 2020, the proportion of Dutch consumers that preferred contactless payments rose steadily. In February 45% preferred to pay contactless for all their purchases. Six months after the pandemic broke out, this figure had risen to 54%. In particular, consumers who initially preferred traditional debit card use have come to appreciate contactless payments more, with traditional card payments down from 24% to 19%, as well as those who already preferred debit card payments, except for small amounts (down from 10% to 7%). As more than half of all point-of-sale payments are for amounts up to EUR 15, the latter shift in payment preferences helps the accelerated decline in cash use take root. The proportion of consumers who generally prefer to pay in cash has decreased slightly from 21% to 20%. This decrease is limited in view of the sharp decline in the use of cash. This is due to the fact that consumers who express a preference for cash have started to use their cards more frequently.